Publications

Policy Briefs

Rigorous, evidence-based analysis on Afghanistan's governance, reconstruction, peacebuilding, and climate security, produced by Afghans, for policymakers, governments, and researchers.

Policy Brief No. 01
Series 1
The State Above Society

Afghanistan's diversity was never a problem to be overcome by a strong center. This brief makes the case for what a governing structure built around that reality would actually look like.

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Policy Brief No. 01
Series 1
Security First? The False Sequencing Doctorine

Every military gain in Afghanistan unraveled because force was never paired with governance. This brief explains the strategic logic behind that failure.

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Policy Brief No. 01
Series 1
International Accountability and Ethical Failure

This brief documents the role external actors played in the collapse and sets the terms for what responsible engagement would have to look like going forward.

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Policy Brief No. 01
Series 1
Why Afghanistan Collapsed

Outside design flaws, predatory Afghan politics, and assumptions untested against reality combined to guarantee failure. This brief makes sure the next attempt does not recycle the same architecture with a different name.

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Policy Brief No. 01
Series 1
The Political Economy of Aid and Rent

By replacing legitimate governance with foreign money, it handed extractive elites exactly the tools they needed and left ordinary Afghans with a state that served everyone but them. This brief is required reading before anyone writes another reconstruction check.

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Policy Brief No. 01
Series 2
Minimum Viable State Functions

This brief cuts through reconstruction ambition to identify the four functions a state must perform before anything else is possible, and why getting that sequence wrong is how you end up with nothing.

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Policy Brief No. 01
Series 2
Local Governance as the Primary Stabilizer

This brief works out how to devolve authority to where governance is actually felt without pulling the country apart in the process.

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Policy Brief No. 01
Series 2
Justice Without a Fully Functioning State

This brief maps the practical legal architecture that can hold a fractured society together in the interim, drawing on what Afghans already use and trust rather than systems imported from elsewhere.

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Policy Brief No. 01
Series 2
Public Finance Without a Treasury

This brief lays out how to build a functional revenue and budgeting system from the ground up in a country where the previous one was built on foreign transfers that are now gone.

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Policy Brief No. 01
Series 2
Women's Exclusion as a State Failure

A state built on half its human capital is not a state being built at all. This brief makes the case that gender inclusion is not a program to add on. It is a condition for anything else to work.

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Policy Brief No. 01
Series 3
Neighbors' Strategic Depth and Afghan Sovereignty

Foreign interference in Afghan politics and security is not background noise. It is a central variable, and this brief treats it that way. No reconstruction plan that ignores it is worth the paper it is written on.

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Policy Brief No. 01
Series 3
Sanctions, Isolation and Economic Asphyxiation

This brief documents how isolation measures that were meant to contain the Taliban are instead cutting off the financial oxygen that any Afghan recovery would require, and what has to change.

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Policy Brief No. 01
Series 3
Proxy Politics and Regional Competition

Every regional power with a stake in Afghan instability has used the country as a theater for its own objectives, and Afghans have paid the price. This brief explains how that dynamic drives internal fragmentation and what it would take to change it.

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Policy Brief No. 01
Series 3
Counterterrorism Without State Destruction

Counterterrorism priorities systematically displaced the institution-building that might have produced a lasting state. This brief shows exactly how that happened so it does not get repeated under a different security framework.

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Policy Brief No. 01
Series 3
Neutrality as Strategy, Not Slogan

This brief examines the conditions under which Afghan neutrality could be made credible to regional powers and what it would take to hold it.

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